Viendo archivo del martes, 3 enero 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jan 03 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 003 Publicado el 2200Z a las 03 Jan 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 02-2100Z hasta 03-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next 3 days (4-6 January).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 02-2100Z a 03-2100Z
The geomagnetic field ranged from quiet to active conditions across
all latitudes. The activity was the result of sporadic polarity
shifts accompanied by a period of extended southward Bz.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet to unsettled days 1-2 (4-5 January) as
fluctuating polarity is expected to continue prior to a forecasted
solar sector boundary crossing (SSBC) on day 2. On day 3 (6
January), the onset of a coronal high speed steam (CH HSS) is
expected to produce unsettled and active conditions with a minor
storm possible at onset.
III. Probabilidades del evento 04 Jan a 06 Jan
| Clase M | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 03 Jan 135 Previsto 04 Jan-06 Jan 140/140/140 Media de 90 Días 03 Jan 144
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 02 Jan 004/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 03 Jan 005/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 04 Jan-06 Jan 007/008-007/008-011/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 04 Jan a 06 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 50% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 25% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 50% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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