Viendo archivo del viernes, 6 enero 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jan 06 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 006 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Jan 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest event of the period was a C2 flare at 06/1125Z from Region 1392 (N19W32). A new emerging flux region was numbered today as Region 1394 (N18E42).
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low levels with a slight chance for M-class events for the next three days (07-09 January).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been predominantly quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind characteristics, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, indicate the arrival of a coronal hole high speed stream (CH HSS) with solar wind speeds increasing from around 330 - 450 km/s.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled for the next two days (07-08 January) as the effects the CH HSS wane. A return to mostly quiet levels is expected on day three (09 January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Jan a 09 Jan
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       06 Jan 136
  Previsto   07 Jan-09 Jan  135/130/130
  Media de 90 Días        06 Jan 145
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 05 Jan  006/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 06 Jan  003/004
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 07 Jan-09 Jan  009/010-010/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Jan a 09 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo30%30%10%
Tormenta Menor10%10%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo40%40%15%
Tormenta Menor20%20%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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