Viendo archivo del martes, 31 enero 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jan 31 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 031 Publicado el 2200Z a las 31 Jan 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 30-2100Z hasta 31-2100Z Solar activity was very low.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next 3 days (01-03 February).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 30-2100Z a 31-2100Z
The geomagnetic field began the period at unsettled conditions from
30/21Z until 31/00Z, before decreasing to quiet levels for the
remainder of the day. The greater than 10 MeV proton event which
began at 27/1905Z and reached a maximum of 796 pfu on 28/0205Z,
dropped below the 10 pfu threshold and ended at 31/0635Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for days 1 and 2 (01-02 February), and
quiet to unsettled on day 3 (03 February) due to anticipated CH HSS
effects.
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Feb a 03 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 31 Jan 117 Previsto 01 Feb-03 Feb 120/120/120 Media de 90 Días 31 Jan 142
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 30 Jan 005/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 31 Jan 002/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Feb-03 Feb 004/005-005/005-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Feb a 03 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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