Viendo archivo del miércoles, 1 febrero 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Feb 01 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 032 Publicado el 2200Z a las 01 Feb 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 31-2100Z hasta 01-2100Z

Solar activity was low. Region 1410 (N07W79) produced a C1 x-ray flare at 01/0441Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low for the next 3 days (02-04 February).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 31-2100Z a 01-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet on day 1 (02 February). Activity will increase to quiet to unsettled on days 2-3 (03-04 February) as the result of anticipated CH HSS effects.
III. Probabilidades del evento 02 Feb a 04 Feb
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       01 Feb 118
  Previsto   02 Feb-04 Feb  120/120/120
  Media de 90 Días        01 Feb 142
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 31 Jan  002/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 01 Feb  000/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 02 Feb-04 Feb  005/005-008/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 02 Feb a 04 Feb
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%15%15%
Tormenta Menor01%05%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%20%20%
Tormenta Menor01%01%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%

All times in UTC

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