Viendo archivo del lunes, 6 febrero 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Feb 06 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 037 Publicado el 2200Z a las 06 Feb 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 05-2100Z hasta 06-2100Z Solar activity was moderate. Region 1410 (N17W67)
produced an M1 x-ray flare at 06/2000Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low
with a chance for moderate levels from Region 1410 for days 1 and 2
(7-8 February). Very low to low level are expected on day 3 (9
February) after Region 1410 transits off the west limb of the solar
disk.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 05-2100Z a 06-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for days 1-2 (7-8 February). Activity
should increase to unsettled and active levels late on day 3 (9
February) from the onset of coronal hole high speed stream effects.
III. Probabilidades del evento 07 Feb a 09 Feb
| Clase M | 30% | 30% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 06 Feb 112 Previsto 07 Feb-09 Feb 110/110/100 Media de 90 Días 06 Feb 138
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 05 Feb 006/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 06 Feb 005/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 07 Feb-09 Feb 004/005-004/005-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 07 Feb a 09 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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