Viendo archivo del martes, 10 enero 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jan 10 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 010 Publicado el 2200Z a las 10 Jan 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 09-2100Z hasta 10-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1393 (N17W70) produced
the largest flare; a C1 at 10/0153Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a chance for an isolated M-flare from Regions 1391 (N12W25) and
1393.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 09-2100Z a 10-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speed at the ACE
spacecraft continues to be slightly elevated at approximately 420 -
460 km/s with the IMF Bz not varying much beyond +/- 5 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet on day 1 (11 January). On days 2 - 3
(12 - 13 January) quiet to unsettled conditions are expected with a
chance for active periods as a coronal hole high speed stream is
expected to become geoeffective.
III. Probabilidades del evento 11 Jan a 13 Jan
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 10 Jan 129 Previsto 11 Jan-13 Jan 130/125/120 Media de 90 Días 10 Jan 145
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 09 Jan 007/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 10 Jan 003/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 11 Jan-13 Jan 004/005-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 11 Jan a 13 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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