Viendo archivo del miércoles, 8 febrero 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Feb 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 039 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Feb 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1410 (N16W90) produced a
slow rise and fall, limb event, C7 x-ray flare at 07/2216Z.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next 3 days (09-11 February).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was mostly unsettled over the period due to
elevated ambient solar wind speeds and periods of southward Bz.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet to unsettled with isolated active
periods for days 1-2 (09-10 February) due to coronal hole effects.
Conditions should return to mostly quiet levels on day 3 (11
February).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Feb a 11 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Feb 097 Previsto 09 Feb-11 Feb 100/100/100 Media de 90 Días 08 Feb 137
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Feb 010/015 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Feb 010/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Feb-11 Feb 008/008-008/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Feb a 11 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 30% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 40% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
All times in UTC
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