Viendo archivo del jueves, 12 enero 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jan 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 012 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Jan 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity was low. A long duration C2 x-ray event
began at 12/0754Z, peaked at 12/1001Z, and then persisted until
12/1216Z. It is believed that the source of the event was from
beyond the East limb. A limb event CME was observed by LASCO C2/C3
and also by the STEREO coronagraphs. The event is not believed to
have a geoeffective potential.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next 3 days (13-15 January).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be unsettled with a chance for active conditions on days
1-2 (13-14 January) due to coronal hole (CH) high speed stream (HSS)
effects. Conditions should return to mostly quiet levels for day 3
(15 January).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Jan a 15 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Jan 117 Previsto 13 Jan-15 Jan 115/115/115 Media de 90 Días 12 Jan 145
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Jan 005/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Jan 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Jan-15 Jan 007/008-007/008-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Jan a 15 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
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