Viendo archivo del jueves, 29 marzo 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Mar 29 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 089 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Mar 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z

Solar activity has been at low levels. There were six C-class flares over the past 24 hours with five of these originating from old Region 1429 (N19, L=299) which is just beginning to rotate into view as of forecast issue time. The largest flare was a C7 that occurred at 29/0953Z and originated from old Region 1429. New Region 1449 (S18W17) was numbered today and is a D-class spot group.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a chance for an isolated M-class flare. Old Region 1429 will rotate onto the visible disk, increasing the probabilities for M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet for the past 24 hours.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet for the next three days (30 March - 1 April)
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Mar a 01 Apr
Clase M35%35%35%
Clase X05%05%05%
Protón05%05%05%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       29 Mar 112
  Previsto   30 Mar-01 Apr  120/130/135
  Media de 90 Días        29 Mar 119
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 28 Mar  010/015
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 29 Mar  003/004
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 30 Mar-01 Apr  006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Mar a 01 Apr
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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