Viendo archivo del martes, 19 junio 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jun 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 171 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Jun 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1504 (S16W65) produced
a C1 flare at 19/1335Z which was the largest event of the period.
New Region 1510 (S16E02) was numbered today and is a small bi-polar
group. There were no Earth-directed CMEs observed during the
period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
with a slight chance for an isolated M-class flare from Region 1504.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be quiet on 20-22 June.
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Jun a 22 Jun
| Clase M | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Jun 110 Previsto 20 Jun-22 Jun 100/090/090 Media de 90 Días 19 Jun 119
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Jun 013/018 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Jun 003/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Jun-22 Jun 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Jun a 22 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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