Viendo archivo del viernes, 22 junio 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jun 22 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 174 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Jun 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z

Solar activity has been very low. New Region 1511 (N15W17) was numbered.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low during the period. Region 1511 is capable of isolated C-class flare production.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
Geomagnetic field activity was at quiet levels. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic activity is expected to be mostly quiet for the next three days (23 - 25 June).
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Jun a 25 Jun
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       22 Jun 088
  Previsto   23 Jun-25 Jun  090/090/095
  Media de 90 Días        22 Jun 119
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 21 Jun  003/003
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 22 Jun  006/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 23 Jun-25 Jun  006/005-006/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Jun a 25 Jun
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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