Viendo archivo del jueves, 21 junio 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Jun 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 173 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Jun 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was very low. Region 1504 (S15W89)
produced a long duration B7 flare at 21/1814Z which was the largest
event of the period. There were no Earth-directed CMEs observed
during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be
predominantly very low for the next three days. There is a chance
for an isolated C-class flare from Region 1504 on day 1 (22 June) as
it approaches the west limb.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit was at high levels throughout the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
Geomagnetic activity is
expected to be quiet on 22-24 June.
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Jun a 24 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Jun 098 Previsto 22 Jun-24 Jun 095/095/095 Media de 90 Días 21 Jun 119
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Jun 004/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Jun 003/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Jun-24 Jun 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Jun a 24 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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