Viendo archivo del domingo, 5 agosto 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Aug 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 218 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Aug 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity was low. Region 1532 (S18W64) produced a
few nominal C-class x-ray events. No CMEs were observed and no new
active regions were numbered during the period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low
for the next 3 days (6-8 August).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet for days 1-2 (6-7 August). Unsettled to
active conditions are forecast for day 3 (8 August), due to an
anticipated glancing blow from the CME on 4 August.
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Aug a 08 Aug
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Aug 134 Previsto 06 Aug-08 Aug 135/135/130 Media de 90 Días 05 Aug 128
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Aug 006/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Aug 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Aug-08 Aug 006/005-006/005-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Aug a 08 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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