Viendo archivo del martes, 21 agosto 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Aug 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 234 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Aug 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity was very low. A few low level B-class
flares were observed. Three new regions were numbered: Region 1550
(S11W81) a Bxo-beta type group; Region 1551 (N13W14) a Bxo-beta type
group; and Region 1552 (S18E54) an Hsx-alpha type group. The
remaining numbered regions were stable and quiet. Several CMEs were
observed however none appear to be Earth-directed.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very
low to low for the next three days (22-24 August).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux
at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be predominately quiet for days 1-3 (22-24 August).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Aug a 24 Aug
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | Green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Aug 094 Previsto 22 Aug-24 Aug 095/095/100 Media de 90 Días 21 Aug 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Aug 011/013 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Aug 007/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Aug-24 Aug 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Aug a 24 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
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