Viendo archivo del martes, 28 agosto 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Aug 28 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 241 Publicado el 2200Z a las 28 Aug 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 27-2100Z hasta 28-2100Z

Solar activity was very low. Region 1558 (N13E65) produced the largest flare of the period, a B6/Sf at 28/0307Z. Region 1559 (N18E63) an Axx-alpha type group was numbered today. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low to low with a slight chance for moderate activity for the next three days (29-31 August).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 27-2100Z a 28-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached high levels during the period.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be predominately quiet for days 1-3 (29-31 August).
III. Probabilidades del evento 29 Aug a 31 Aug
Clase M10%10%10%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFGreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       28 Aug 111
  Previsto   29 Aug-31 Aug  110/115/115
  Media de 90 Días        28 Aug 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 27 Aug  007/007
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 28 Aug  003/004
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 29 Aug-31 Aug  006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 29 Aug a 31 Aug
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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