Viendo archivo del lunes, 24 septiembre 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Sep 24 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 268 Publicado el 2200Z a las 24 Sep 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 23-2100Z hasta 24-2100Z

Solar activity was low. A C1 flare occurred at 24/1542Z from new Region 1578 (N21E10). Another C1 flare occurred at 24/1931Z from an unnumbered region currently rotating onto the northeast limb. Another new region rotated onto the southeast limb and was numbered Region 1579 (S09E70). No Earth-directed CMEs were observed during the reporting period.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with a slight chance for M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 23-2100Z a 24-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be mostly quiet on days 1-3 (25-27 September). On days 2-3 (26-27 September), the greater than 10 MeV proton probability increases to a slight chance due to potential activity from active regions rotating around the southeast limb.
III. Probabilidades del evento 25 Sep a 27 Sep
Clase M15%20%20%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón05%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       24 Sep 137
  Previsto   25 Sep-27 Sep  140/145/145
  Media de 90 Días        24 Sep 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 23 Sep  001/004
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 24 Sep  002/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 25 Sep-27 Sep  005/005-004/005-004/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 25 Sep a 27 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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