Viendo archivo del miércoles, 26 septiembre 2012
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Sep 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 270 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Sep 2012IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity was low. New Region 1582 (S12E68)
rotated onto the southeast limb and produced the only C-flare of the
period; a long duration C1 at 26/1240Z. No Earth-directed CMEs were
observed.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at
low levels with a slight chance for an M-flare.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet. Solar wind speed, measured at the
ACE spacecraft, increased from approximately 320 km/s to 450 km/s
while the total magnetic field increased from 5 nT to 9 nT.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is
expected to be mostly quiet with a slight chance for unsettled
periods during the forecast period (27 - 29 September). There is a
slight chance for a greater than 10 MeV proton event.
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Sep a 29 Sep
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Sep 139 Previsto 27 Sep-29 Sep 145/150/150 Media de 90 Días 26 Sep 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Sep 002/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Sep 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Sep-29 Sep 006/005-005/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Sep a 29 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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