Viendo archivo del martes, 25 septiembre 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Sep 25 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 269 Publicado el 2200Z a las 25 Sep 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 24-2100Z hasta 25-2100Z

Solar activity was low. The largest flare of the period was a C4 flare at 25/1753Z from Region 1580 (N17E67). New Region 1581 (N22E03) was numbered today. No Earth-directed CMEs were observed.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to continue at low levels with a slight chance for M-class flares.
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 24-2100Z a 25-2100Z
The geomagnetic field was quiet.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to continue at mostly quiet conditions. There is a slight chance for a greater than 10 MeV proton event from active regions rotating around the southeast limb.
III. Probabilidades del evento 26 Sep a 28 Sep
Clase M20%20%20%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón10%10%10%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       25 Sep 140
  Previsto   26 Sep-28 Sep  145/145/150
  Media de 90 Días        25 Sep 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 24 Sep  002/005
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 25 Sep  002/005
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 26 Sep-28 Sep  004/005-004/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 26 Sep a 28 Sep
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor10%10%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%05%05%

All times in UTC

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