Viendo archivo del martes, 11 diciembre 2012

Informe actividad solar

Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2012 Dec 11 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 346 Publicado el 2200Z a las 11 Dec 2012

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 10-2100Z hasta 11-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at very low levels with a chance for C-class flares on days one, two, and three (12 Dec, 13 Dec, 14 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 10-2100Z a 11-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 328 km/s at 10/2344Z. Total IMF reached 5.9 nT at 10/2146Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4.9 nT at 10/2149Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on day one (12 Dec), quiet to unsettled levels on day two (13 Dec), and a return to quiet levels on day three (14 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 12 Dec a 14 Dec
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       11 Dec 104
  Previsto   12 Dec-14 Dec 105/110/110
  Media de 90 Días        11 Dec 119

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 10 Dec  003/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 11 Dec  002/003
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 12 Dec-14 Dec  006/005-007/008-005/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 12 Dec a 14 Dec
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%10%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%20%15%
Tormenta Menor10%20%10%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa05%10%05%

All times in UTC

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