Viendo archivo del lunes, 7 enero 2013
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2013 Jan 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 7 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Jan 2013IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
07/0852Z from Region 1640 (N28W87). There are currently 12 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be at low
with a chance for moderate levels on days one, two, and three (08 Jan,
09 Jan, 10 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 385 km/s at
07/1934Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 07/0126Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -5.8 nT at 07/0327Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet with a chance of unsettled levels for the next three days
(08 Jan, 09
Jan, 10 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Jan a 10 Jan
| Clase M | 35% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Jan 150 Previsto 08 Jan-10 Jan 150/145/140 Media de 90 Días 07 Jan 120
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Jan 006/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Jan 002/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Jan-10 Jan 006/008-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Jan a 10 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 05% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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