Viendo archivo del martes, 5 marzo 2013

Daily bulletin on solar and geomagnetic activity from the SIDC

Emitido: 2013 Mar 05 1322 UTC

SIDC Forecast

Valid from 1230 UTC, 05 Mar 2013 until 07 Mar 2013
Llamarada solar

Eruptive (C-class flares expected, probability >= 50%)

Geomagnetism

Active conditions expected (A>=20 or K=4)

Protones solares

Warning condition

10cm fluxAp
05 Mar 2013114007
06 Mar 2013115011
07 Mar 2013117007

Bulletin

NOAA AR 1686 (S12W52) produced an isolated M1.2 flare peaking at 07:54 UT, C-class level activity can be expected for the coming hours. Dimmings associated with this flare suggest the presence of a CME, but there is nothing visible in STEREO-A and no LASCO data yet. STEREO-B witnessed a full halo CME starting at 04:10 UT (COR2), this is a backsided event not expected to arrive to the Earth. A filament erupted south-east of NOAA AR 1688 (S15E31) at 23:00 UT on March 4 leading to a narrow CME seen by STEREO-B, this event is not believed to be Earth directed, even though there is no LASCO data yet to confirm (data gap). Geomagnetic conditions have been quiet and are expected to remain so until the arrival of a fast speed stream in 24h that may lead to active levels.

Today's estimated international sunspot number (ISN): 059, based on 16 stations.

Solar indices for 4 Mar 2013

Wolf number Catania088
10cm solar flux114
AK Chambon La Forêt009
AK Wingst005
Estimated Ap004
Estimated international sunspot number060 - Based on 25 stations

Noticeable events summary

DayBeginMaxFinLocStrengthOP10cmRadio burst typesCatania/NOAA
05074707540759----M1.21686

Provided by the Solar Influences Data analysis Center© - SIDC - Processed by SpaceWeatherLive

All times in UTC

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