Viendo archivo del jueves, 29 mayo 2014
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2014 May 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 149 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 May 2014IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
29/0430Z from Region 2071 (S10W61). There are currently 4 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (30 May,
31 May, 01 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of
395 km/s at 29/1057Z. Total IMF reached 8 nT at 29/1910Z. The maximum
southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at 29/0921Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (30 May, 31 May) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (01 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 May a 01 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 May 103 Previsto 30 May-01 Jun 105/105/100 Media de 90 Días 29 May 142
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 May 005/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 May 007/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 May-01 Jun 006/005-006/005-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 May a 01 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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