Viendo archivo del viernes, 30 mayo 2014
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2014 May 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 150 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 May 2014IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 4 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (31 May,
01 Jun, 02 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of
366 km/s at 30/1822Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 30/1843Z. The maximum
southward component of Bz reached -10 nT at 30/1713Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on day one (31 May), quiet to unsettled
levels on day two (01 Jun) and quiet levels on day three (02 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 May a 02 Jun
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | red | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 May 102 Previsto 31 May-02 Jun 105/105/105 Media de 90 Días 30 May 142
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 May 008/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 May 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 May-02 Jun 009/010-008/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 May a 02 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 20% | 05% |
All times in UTC
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