Viendo archivo del viernes, 5 junio 2015
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2015 Jun 05 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 156 Publicado el 2200Z a las 05 Jun 2015IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 04-2100Z hasta 05-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
05/1734Z from Region 2361 (N16E51). There are currently 7 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (06
Jun, 07 Jun, 08 Jun).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 04-2100Z a 05-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 311 km/s at
05/0837Z. Total IMF reached 4 nT at 05/2013Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -2 nT at 05/0904Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (06 Jun, 07 Jun)
and quiet to active levels on day three (08 Jun).
III. Probabilidades del evento 06 Jun a 08 Jun
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 05 Jun 126 Previsto 06 Jun-08 Jun 130/135/135 Media de 90 Días 05 Jun 124
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 04 Jun 004/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 05 Jun 003/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 06 Jun-08 Jun 008/008-010/012-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 06 Jun a 08 Jun
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 25% | 35% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 30% | 45% |
All times in UTC
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