Viendo archivo del jueves, 23 julio 2015
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2015 Jul 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 204 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Jul 2015IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one and two (24 Jul, 25
Jul) and expected to be very low with a chance for a C-class flares on
day three (26 Jul).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to minor storm levels for the past 24 hours.
Solar wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak
speed of 559 km/s at 23/1707Z. Total IMF reached 11 nT at 23/0314Z. The
maximum southward component of Bz reached -11 nT at 23/0442Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (24 Jul, 25 Jul) and
quiet to unsettled levels on day three (26 Jul).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Jul a 26 Jul
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Jul 089 Previsto 24 Jul-26 Jul 090/095/100 Media de 90 Días 23 Jul 118
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Jul 009/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Jul 018/021 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Jul-26 Jul 014/015-011/012-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Jul a 26 Jul
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 25% | 20% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 25% | 15% |
All times in UTC
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