Viendo archivo del sábado, 19 diciembre 2015
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2015 Dec 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 353 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Dec 2015IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
19/0204Z from Region 2468 (S15W54). There are currently 3 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (20 Dec,
21 Dec, 22 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed, as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of
530 km/s at 19/1945Z. Total IMF reached 17 nT at 19/1549Z. The maximum
southward component of Bz reached -14 nT at 19/1536Z. Electrons greater
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 2825 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (20 Dec), quiet to
unsettled levels on day two (21 Dec) and quiet levels on day three (22
Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Dec a 22 Dec
| Clase M | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Dec 119 Previsto 20 Dec-22 Dec 120/125/125 Media de 90 Días 19 Dec 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Dec 004/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Dec 010/013 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Dec-22 Dec 015/018-007/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Dec a 22 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 15% | 10% |
All times in UTC
< < Ir a la visión general diaria
Últimas noticias
domingo, 1 febrero 2026
Complex sunspot region 4366
lunes, 19 enero 2026
CME impact! S4 solar radiation storm
domingo, 18 enero 2026
X1.9 solar flare with earth-directed CME
Últimos mensajes del foro
50 mhz F2 83AR4366 742Space Weather Memes 785X8 CME 17Do the high-resolution sunspot counts point to more complex sunspots? 48
Más temasApoye a SpaceWeatherLive.com!
A lot of people come to SpaceWeatherLive to follow the Solar activity or if there is a chance to see the aurora, but with more traffic comes higher costs to keep the servers online. If you like SpaceWeatherLive and want to support the project you can choose a subscription for an ad-free site or consider a donation. With your help we can keep SpaceWeatherLive online!
Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 03/02/2026 | X1.5 |
| Último evento clase M | 03/02/2026 | M3.4 |
| Últimas tormentas geomagnéticas | 28/01/2026 | Kp5+ (G1) |
| Días sin manchas | |
|---|---|
| Último día sin manchas | 08/06/2022 |
| Promedio de manchas solares mensuales | |
|---|---|
| diciembre 2025 | 124 +32.2 |
| febrero 2026 | 133 +9 |
| Last 30 days | 120.6 +10.9 |