Viendo archivo del viernes, 29 enero 2016
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2016 Jan 29 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 29 Publicado el 2200Z a las 29 Jan 2016IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 28-2100Z hasta 29-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
29/0818Z from Region 2488 (N04W66). There are currently 3 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be low with
a slight chance for an M-class flare on days one, two, and three (30
Jan, 31 Jan, 01 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 28-2100Z a 29-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed,
as measured by the ACE spacecraft, reached a peak speed of 458 km/s at
28/2226Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 29/0151Z. The maximum southward
component of Bz reached -3 nT at 29/1600Z.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (30 Jan, 31 Jan, 01
Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 30 Jan a 01 Feb
| Clase M | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 29 Jan 107 Previsto 30 Jan-01 Feb 108/105/100 Media de 90 Días 29 Jan 109
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 28 Jan 005/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 29 Jan 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 30 Jan-01 Feb 006/006-006/006-005/006
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 30 Jan a 01 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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