Viendo archivo del sábado, 30 julio 2016
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2016 Jul 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 212 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Jul 2016IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (31 Jul, 01 Aug, 02 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 551 km/s at 29/2326Z. Electrons greater
than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1133 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (31 Jul), quiet to active levels on day
two (01 Aug) and unsettled to major storm levels on day three (02 Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 31 Jul a 02 Aug
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Jul 071 Previsto 31 Jul-02 Aug 071/071/071 Media de 90 Días 30 Jul 087
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Jul 016/015 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Jul 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 31 Jul-02 Aug 006/005-007/008-020/032
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 31 Jul a 02 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 10% | 35% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 20% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 40% | 70% |
All times in UTC
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