Viendo archivo del viernes, 26 agosto 2016
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2016 Aug 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 239 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Aug 2016IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 3 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (27 Aug,
28 Aug, 29 Aug).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 551 km/s at 25/2249Z. Total IMF reached 6
nT at 25/2313Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
25/2257Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 1334 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (27 Aug), quiet to unsettled levels on
day two (28 Aug) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (29
Aug).
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Aug a 29 Aug
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Aug 082 Previsto 27 Aug-29 Aug 082/080/078 Media de 90 Días 26 Aug 084
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Aug 009/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Aug 007/007 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Aug-29 Aug 006/005-008/008-020/030
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Aug a 29 Aug
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 25% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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