Viendo archivo del viernes, 27 enero 2017
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Jan 27 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 27 Publicado el 2200Z a las 27 Jan 2017IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 26-2100Z hasta 27-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (28 Jan,
29 Jan, 30 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 26-2100Z a 27-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 697 km/s at 27/0609Z. Total IMF reached 16
nT at 26/2330Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -12 nT at
26/2346Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 1551 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and three (28 Jan, 30 Jan)
and quiet to unsettled levels on day two (29 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 28 Jan a 30 Jan
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 27 Jan 080 Previsto 28 Jan-30 Jan 080/080/080 Media de 90 Días 27 Jan 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 26 Jan 011/014 Estimado Afr/Ap 27 Jan 019/023 Previsto Afr/Ap 28 Jan-30 Jan 012/015-009/010-009/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 28 Jan a 30 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 30% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 10% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 40% | 25% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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