Viendo archivo del jueves, 23 febrero 2017
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2017 Feb 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 54 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Feb 2017IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been at low levels for the past 24 hours.
The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
23/2053Z from Region 2638 (N18E20). There are currently 1 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (24 Feb,
25 Feb, 26 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 650 km/s at 23/2048Z. Total IMF reached 12
nT at 23/1556Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
23/1931Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 642 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to minor storm levels on day one (24 Feb), quiet to
active levels on day two (25 Feb) and quiet to unsettled levels on day
three (26 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Feb a 26 Feb
| Clase M | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Feb 083 Previsto 24 Feb-26 Feb 083/083/083 Media de 90 Días 23 Feb 077
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Feb 008/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Feb 011/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Feb-26 Feb 014/018-011/012-008/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Feb a 26 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 40% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
| Último evento clase X | 02/02/2026 | X1.6 |
| Último evento clase M | 02/02/2026 | M2.4 |
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