Viendo archivo del viernes, 7 septiembre 2018
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2018 Sep 07 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 250 Publicado el 2200Z a las 07 Sep 2018IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 06-2100Z hasta 07-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (08 Sep, 09 Sep, 10 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 06-2100Z a 07-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 521 km/s at 07/1230Z. Total IMF reached 12 nT at
07/0601Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -8 nT at
07/0559Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 1884 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (08 Sep) and quiet levels
on days two and three (09 Sep, 10 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 08 Sep a 10 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 07 Sep 068 Previsto 08 Sep-10 Sep 068/068/068 Media de 90 Días 07 Sep 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 06 Sep 005/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 07 Sep 008/011 Previsto Afr/Ap 08 Sep-10 Sep 009/010-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 08 Sep a 10 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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