Viendo archivo del sábado, 8 septiembre 2018
Informe actividad solar
Any mentioned solar flare in this report has a scaling factor applied by the Space Weather Prediction Center (SWPC). Because of the SWPC scaling factor, solar flares are reported as 42% smaller than for the science quality data. The scaling factor has been removed from our archived solar flare data to reflect the true physical units.
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2018 Sep 08 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 251 Publicado el 2200Z a las 08 Sep 2018IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 07-2100Z hasta 08-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (09 Sep, 10 Sep, 11 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 07-2100Z a 08-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 442 km/s at 07/2118Z. Total IMF reached 7
nT at 08/0730Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
08/1525Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 1086 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (09 Sep), quiet to active levels on day
two (10 Sep) and unsettled to minor storm levels on day three (11 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 09 Sep a 11 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 08 Sep 069 Previsto 09 Sep-11 Sep 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 08 Sep 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 07 Sep 005/005 Estimado Afr/Ap 08 Sep 006/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 09 Sep-11 Sep 006/005-011/012-017/025
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 09 Sep a 11 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 35% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 20% | 35% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 05% | 25% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 10% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 55% | 80% |
All times in UTC
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