Viendo archivo del sábado, 18 enero 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Jan 18 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 18 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Jan 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (19 Jan, 20 Jan, 21 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 350 km/s at 18/1130Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
18/1127Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
18/0053Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 218 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (19 Jan) and quiet to
active levels on days two and three (20 Jan, 21 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Jan a 21 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Jan 071 Previsto 19 Jan-21 Jan 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 18 Jan 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Jan 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Jan 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Jan-21 Jan 010/010-008/012-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Jan a 21 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 30% | 40% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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