Viendo archivo del viernes, 14 febrero 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Feb 14 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 45 Publicado el 2200Z a las 14 Feb 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 13-2100Z hasta 14-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (15 Feb, 16 Feb, 17 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 13-2100Z a 14-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 360 km/s at 14/0005Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 1179 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (15 Feb, 16 Feb) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (17 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 15 Feb a 17 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 14 Feb 071 Previsto 15 Feb-17 Feb 071/071/071 Media de 90 Días 14 Feb 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 13 Feb 001/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 14 Feb 002/003 Previsto Afr/Ap 15 Feb-17 Feb 006/005-006/005-008/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 15 Feb a 17 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 30% |
All times in UTC
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