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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Jan 26 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 26 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Jan 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (27
Jan, 28 Jan, 29 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 346 km/s at 25/2323Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
26/1524Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
26/1525Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 136 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one and two (27 Jan, 28 Jan) and quiet to
unsettled levels on day three (29 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Jan a 29 Jan
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 26 Jan 075 Previsto 27 Jan-29 Jan 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 26 Jan 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 25 Jan 003/001 Estimado Afr/Ap 26 Jan 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 27 Jan-29 Jan 006/005-006/005-007/010
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Jan a 29 Jan
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 15% | 15% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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