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Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Jan 26 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 26 Publicado el 2200Z a las 26 Jan 2020

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 25-2100Z hasta 26-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (27 Jan, 28 Jan, 29 Jan).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 25-2100Z a 26-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 346 km/s at 25/2323Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at 26/1524Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 26/1525Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 136 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (27 Jan, 28 Jan) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (29 Jan).
III. Probabilidades del evento 27 Jan a 29 Jan
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       26 Jan 075
  Previsto   27 Jan-29 Jan 075/075/075
  Media de 90 Días        26 Jan 071

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 25 Jan  003/001
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 26 Jan  004/004
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 27 Jan-29 Jan  006/005-006/005-007/010

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 27 Jan a 29 Jan
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%20%
Tormenta Menor01%01%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor20%20%30%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa15%15%25%

All times in UTC

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