Viendo archivo del sábado, 22 febrero 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Feb 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 53 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Feb 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (23 Feb, 24 Feb, 25 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 547 km/s at 22/0849Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 22/0605Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
22/0028Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 2370 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (23 Feb,
24 Feb, 25 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Feb a 25 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Feb 072 Previsto 23 Feb-25 Feb 071/071/071 Media de 90 Días 22 Feb 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Feb 010/008 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Feb 009/008 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Feb-25 Feb 008/008-007/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Feb a 25 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 25% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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