Viendo archivo del lunes, 17 febrero 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Feb 17 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 48 Publicado el 2200Z a las 17 Feb 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 16-2100Z hasta 17-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (18 Feb, 19 Feb, 20 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 16-2100Z a 17-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 360 km/s at 17/2004Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
17/1901Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -6 nT at
17/1901Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 383 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one, two, and three (18 Feb,
19 Feb, 20 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 18 Feb a 20 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 17 Feb 071 Previsto 18 Feb-20 Feb 071/071/071 Media de 90 Días 17 Feb 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 16 Feb 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 17 Feb 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 18 Feb-20 Feb 008/008-008/010-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 18 Feb a 20 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 20% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 30% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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