Viendo archivo del martes, 18 febrero 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Feb 18 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 49 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Feb 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (19 Feb, 20 Feb, 21 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 417 km/s at 18/1509Z. Total IMF reached 12
nT at 18/1403Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -12 nT at
18/1404Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 183 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on day one (19 Feb), unsettled
to active levels on day two (20 Feb) and quiet levels on day three (21
Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Feb a 21 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 18 Feb 071 Previsto 19 Feb-21 Feb 070/070/070 Media de 90 Días 18 Feb 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 17 Feb 005/007 Estimado Afr/Ap 18 Feb 009/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 19 Feb-21 Feb 015/022-015/018-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Feb a 21 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 15% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 60% | 50% | 25% |
All times in UTC
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