Viendo archivo del viernes, 21 febrero 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Feb 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 52 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Feb 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (22 Feb, 23 Feb, 24 Feb).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 558 km/s at 21/0821Z. Total IMF reached 8
nT at 20/2321Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -7 nT at
20/2321Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 2852 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (22 Feb) and quiet levels
on days two and three (23 Feb, 24 Feb).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Feb a 24 Feb
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Feb 071 Previsto 22 Feb-24 Feb 071/071/071 Media de 90 Días 21 Feb 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Feb 005/006 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Feb 013/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Feb-24 Feb 008/008-005/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Feb a 24 Feb
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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