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Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Mar 20 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 80 Publicado el 2200Z a las 20 Mar 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 19-2100Z hasta 20-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (21 Mar, 22 Mar, 23 Mar).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 19-2100Z a 20-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 498 km/s at 19/2255Z. Total IMF reached 5
nT at 20/1706Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
20/2038Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 421 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (21 Mar) and quiet levels
on days two and three (22 Mar, 23 Mar).
III. Probabilidades del evento 21 Mar a 23 Mar
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 20 Mar 072 Previsto 21 Mar-23 Mar 072/072/072 Media de 90 Días 20 Mar 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 19 Mar 007/010 Estimado Afr/Ap 20 Mar 005/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 21 Mar-23 Mar 007/008-006/005-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 21 Mar a 23 Mar
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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Hechos clima espacial
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