Viendo archivo del lunes, 21 septiembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Sep 21 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 265 Publicado el 2200Z a las 21 Sep 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 20-2100Z hasta 21-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (22 Sep, 23 Sep, 24 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 20-2100Z a 21-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 323 km/s at 21/2042Z. Total IMF reached 9 nT at
20/2247Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
21/1700Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 177 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (22 Sep), quiet to unsettled levels on
day two (23 Sep) and quiet to active levels on day three (24 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 22 Sep a 24 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 21 Sep 071 Previsto 22 Sep-24 Sep 071/072/074 Media de 90 Días 21 Sep 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 20 Sep 004/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 21 Sep 004/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 22 Sep-24 Sep 006/005-008/010-010/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 22 Sep a 24 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 25% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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