Viendo archivo del martes, 22 septiembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Sep 22 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 266 Publicado el 2200Z a las 22 Sep 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 21-2100Z hasta 22-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 0 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (23 Sep, 24 Sep, 25 Sep).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 21-2100Z a 22-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 351 km/s at 22/1730Z. Total IMF reached 9
nT at 22/0206Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at
22/0644Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 152 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on day one (23 Sep), quiet to active
levels on day two (24 Sep) and unsettled levels on day three (25 Sep).
III. Probabilidades del evento 23 Sep a 25 Sep
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 22 Sep 072 Previsto 23 Sep-25 Sep 072/072/072 Media de 90 Días 22 Sep 070
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 21 Sep 003/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 22 Sep 007/006 Previsto Afr/Ap 23 Sep-25 Sep 008/010-010/012-013/015
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 23 Sep a 25 Sep
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 25% | 40% | 40% |
All times in UTC
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