Viendo archivo del viernes, 16 octubre 2020

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Oct 16 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 290 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Oct 2020

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at 16/1511Z from Region 2774 (S24, L=313). There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (17 Oct, 18 Oct, 19 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 332 km/s at 16/1159Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at 16/0616Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at 16/1940Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 196 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (17 Oct, 18 Oct, 19 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Oct a 19 Oct
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       16 Oct 075
  Previsto   17 Oct-19 Oct 075/075/073
  Media de 90 Días        16 Oct 071

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 15 Oct  002/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 16 Oct  004/004
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 17 Oct-19 Oct  006/005-006/005-006/005

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Oct a 19 Oct
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo05%05%05%
Tormenta Menor01%01%01%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo15%15%15%
Tormenta Menor15%15%15%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%10%

All times in UTC

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