Viendo archivo del viernes, 16 octubre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Oct 16 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 290 Publicado el 2200Z a las 16 Oct 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 15-2100Z hasta 16-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C3 event observed at
16/1511Z from Region 2774 (S24, L=313). There are currently 1 numbered
sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a slight chance for a C-class flare on days one, two, and three (17
Oct, 18 Oct, 19 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 15-2100Z a 16-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 332 km/s at 16/1159Z. Total IMF reached 7 nT at
16/0616Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
16/1940Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 196 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on days one, two, and three (17 Oct, 18 Oct, 19
Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 17 Oct a 19 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 16 Oct 075 Previsto 17 Oct-19 Oct 075/075/073 Media de 90 Días 16 Oct 071
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 15 Oct 002/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 16 Oct 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 17 Oct-19 Oct 006/005-006/005-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 17 Oct a 19 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 10% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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