Viendo archivo del jueves, 12 noviembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Nov 12 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 317 Publicado el 2200Z a las 12 Nov 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 11-2100Z hasta 12-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. The largest solar event of the period was a C1 event observed at
12/0227Z. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (13 Nov,
14 Nov, 15 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 11-2100Z a 12-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 435 km/s at 12/2027Z. Total IMF reached 10 nT at
11/2117Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -1 nT at
12/1909Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 535 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (13 Nov) and quiet to unsettled levels
on days two and three (14 Nov, 15 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 13 Nov a 15 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 12 Nov 085 Previsto 13 Nov-15 Nov 085/085/085 Media de 90 Días 12 Nov 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 11 Nov 002/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 12 Nov 004/004 Previsto Afr/Ap 13 Nov-15 Nov 005/005-008/008-007/008
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 13 Nov a 15 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 05% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 20% | 15% | 15% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 20% | 20% |
All times in UTC
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