Viendo archivo del viernes, 23 octubre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Oct 23 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 297 Publicado el 2200Z a las 23 Oct 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 22-2100Z hasta 23-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (24 Oct, 25 Oct, 26 Oct).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 22-2100Z a 23-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to active levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 526 km/s at 23/1906Z. Total IMF reached 14
nT at 23/1621Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -10 nT at
23/1930Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 621 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at unsettled to minor storm levels on days one and three (24 Oct,
26 Oct) and quiet to active levels on day two (25 Oct).
III. Probabilidades del evento 24 Oct a 26 Oct
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 23 Oct 072 Previsto 24 Oct-26 Oct 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 23 Oct 072
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 22 Oct 003/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 23 Oct 009/014 Previsto Afr/Ap 24 Oct-26 Oct 015/020-012/015-015/020
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 24 Oct a 26 Oct
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 40% | 35% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 20% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 30% | 25% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 65% | 50% | 65% |
All times in UTC
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