Viendo archivo del jueves, 19 noviembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Nov 19 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 324 Publicado el 2200Z a las 19 Nov 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 18-2100Z hasta 19-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
on days one, two, and three (20 Nov, 21 Nov, 22 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 18-2100Z a 19-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 325 km/s at 19/0918Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at
19/1125Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -4 nT at
19/0841Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 238 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet levels on day one (20 Nov), quiet to unsettled levels on
day two (21 Nov) and quiet to active levels on day three (22 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 20 Nov a 22 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 19 Nov 077 Previsto 20 Nov-22 Nov 075/075/075 Media de 90 Días 19 Nov 075
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 18 Nov 003/002 Estimado Afr/Ap 19 Nov 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 20 Nov-22 Nov 006/005-008/008-011/012
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 20 Nov a 22 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 10% | 20% | 40% |
| Tormenta Menor | 01% | 05% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 05% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 20% | 25% | 30% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 10% | 30% | 55% |
All times in UTC
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