Viendo archivo del viernes, 13 noviembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Nov 13 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 318 Publicado el 2200Z a las 13 Nov 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 12-2100Z hasta 13-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 2 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low
with a chance for a C-class flares on days one, two, and three (14 Nov,
15 Nov, 16 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 12-2100Z a 13-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed
reached a peak of 443 km/s at 13/0341Z. Total IMF reached 5 nT at
12/2354Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -3 nT at
13/0048Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached
a peak level of 221 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to unsettled levels on days one and two (14 Nov, 15 Nov)
and quiet levels on day three (16 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 14 Nov a 16 Nov
| Clase M | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Clase X | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| Protón | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 13 Nov 082 Previsto 14 Nov-16 Nov 082/080/078 Media de 90 Días 13 Nov 074
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 12 Nov 003/003 Estimado Afr/Ap 13 Nov 005/005 Previsto Afr/Ap 14 Nov-16 Nov 008/008-007/008-006/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 14 Nov a 16 Nov
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 05% | 05% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 25% | 25% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 20% | 20% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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