Viendo archivo del miércoles, 18 noviembre 2020

Informe actividad solar

Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Nov 18 2200 UTC
Preparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com

Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica

SDF Número 323 Publicado el 2200Z a las 18 Nov 2020

IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 17-2100Z hasta 18-2100Z

Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24 hours. There are currently 1 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is expected to be very low on days one, two, and three (19 Nov, 20 Nov, 21 Nov).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 17-2100Z a 18-2100Z
The geomagnetic field has been at quiet levels for the past 24 hours. Solar wind speed reached a peak of 319 km/s at 17/2310Z. Total IMF reached 6 nT at 17/2218Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -5 nT at 17/2219Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 197 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected to be at quiet levels on days one and two (19 Nov, 20 Nov) and quiet to unsettled levels on day three (21 Nov).
III. Probabilidades del evento 19 Nov a 21 Nov
Clase M01%01%01%
Clase X01%01%01%
Protón01%01%01%
PCAFgreen
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
  Observado       18 Nov 077
  Previsto   19 Nov-21 Nov 075/075/075
  Media de 90 Días        18 Nov 075

V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
  Observado Afr/Ap 17 Nov  003/002
  Estimado     Afr/Ap 18 Nov  004/004
  Previsto    Afr/Ap 19 Nov-21 Nov  005/005-006/005-008/008

VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 19 Nov a 21 Nov
A. Latitudes Medias
Activo10%10%20%
Tormenta Menor01%01%05%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa01%01%01%
B. Latitudes Altas
Activo20%15%15%
Tormenta Menor20%20%25%
Tormenta Mayor-Severa10%10%25%

All times in UTC

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