Viendo archivo del lunes, 30 noviembre 2020
Informe actividad solar
Informe de actividad Solar-Geofísica 2020 Nov 30 2200 UTCPreparado por NOAA © SWPC y procesado por SpaceWeatherLive.com
Informe conjunto USAF/NOAA de actividad Solar y Geofísica
SDF Número 335 Publicado el 2200Z a las 30 Nov 2020IA. Análisis de regiones solares activas y de actividad desde 29-2100Z hasta 30-2100Z Solar activity has been at very low levels for the past 24
hours. There are currently 5 numbered sunspot regions on the disk.
IB. Pronóstico de la actividad solar
Solar activity is likely to be low with a
chance for M-class flares on days one, two, and three (01 Dec, 02 Dec,
03 Dec).
IIA. Resumen de la actividad geofísica 29-2100Z a 30-2100Z
The geomagnetic
field has been at quiet to unsettled levels for the past 24 hours. Solar
wind speed reached a peak of 577 km/s at 30/2045Z. Total IMF reached 12
nT at 30/0718Z. The maximum southward component of Bz reached -9 nT at
30/0718Z. Protons greater than 10 MeV at geosynchronous orbit reached a
peak level of 4 pfu at 30/1950Z. Electrons greater than 2 MeV at
geosynchronous orbit reached a peak level of 786 pfu.
IIB. Pronóstico de la actividad geofísica
The geomagnetic field is expected
to be at quiet to active levels on days one and two (01 Dec, 02 Dec) and
quiet levels on day three (03 Dec). Protons have a slight chance of
crossing threshold on days one, two, and three (01 Dec, 02 Dec, 03 Dec).
III. Probabilidades del evento 01 Dec a 03 Dec
| Clase M | 25% | 25% | 25% |
| Clase X | 05% | 05% | 05% |
| Protón | 10% | 10% | 10% |
| PCAF | green | ||
IV. Penticton 10.7cm flujo
Observado 30 Nov 109 Previsto 01 Dec-03 Dec 110/110/105 Media de 90 Días 30 Nov 079
V. Índices Geomagnéticos A
Observado Afr/Ap 29 Nov 006/004 Estimado Afr/Ap 30 Nov 008/010 Previsto Afr/Ap 01 Dec-03 Dec 008/012-011/012-005/005
VI. Probabilidades de Actividad Geomagnética 01 Dec a 03 Dec
| A. Latitudes Medias | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 35% | 35% | 10% |
| Tormenta Menor | 15% | 15% | 01% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 01% | 01% | 01% |
| B. Latitudes Altas | |||
|---|---|---|---|
| Activo | 15% | 15% | 20% |
| Tormenta Menor | 30% | 30% | 20% |
| Tormenta Mayor-Severa | 50% | 50% | 10% |
All times in UTC
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